Powerless-Leeway
0x74b9316934f4413e0621649da62596a82de847ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$348.87
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$-549.46
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
638 shares @ 62.6¢·now 53.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$342.50
$-57.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 43.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.37
$-3.63
- YES
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
7973 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-499.97
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
5321 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?
4644 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
4604 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.6K
- NO
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
2180 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
1601 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-304.15
- NO
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1251 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Starostové get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?
1085 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-368.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$101.13May 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$101.09May 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$202.26May 20, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$1.2KApr 20, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$10.95Apr 13, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$518.08Apr 13, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$540.54Apr 13, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$1.9KApr 13, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$100.00Apr 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$10.00Apr 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$100.00Apr 12, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$100.00Apr 12, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$100.00Apr 12, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$212.00Apr 12, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$80.00Apr 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$10.00Apr 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$228.70Apr 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$200.00Apr 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$272.90Apr 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$283.00Apr 12, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $129.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".