Wry-Fiddle
0x74bf179c9ae963857b37ba7b0c22b7a2e3872a6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$30.8K
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$-305.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
86642 shares @ 47.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.8K
$-10.7K
- NO
James Comey arrested by April 29?
4592 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
4239 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$128.96Jul 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$9.30Jul 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$8.06Jul 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$12.80Jul 25, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$21.66Jul 25, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$385.24Jul 25, 21:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.17Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$113.59Jul 19, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$91.41Jul 19, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$390.00Jul 18, 19:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.29Jul 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$5.91Jul 15, 20:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.87Jul 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$7.99Jul 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$3.68Jul 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$9.60Jul 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$9.40Jul 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$15.75Jul 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$7.92Jul 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$10.75Jul 14, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 26, 22:50 UTC → May 26, 22:45 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$5.3K@90¢May 26, 22:45 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
$5.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $96.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.