Shoddy-Ounce
0x74c0c5bc8cfc9d162c1114bc9bd5d176510274a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$174.97
Total PnL
$-37.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?
135 shares @ 44.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$68.36
$8.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 14?
495 shares @ 13.1¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$34.67
$-30.33
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
907 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.60
$0.60
- YES
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?
33 shares @ 33.2¢·now 38.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.65
$-4.35
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.65
$0.65
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2.10Jul 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.15Jul 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$0.90Jul 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$4.36Jul 14, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.15Jul 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 14?$15.66Jul 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 14?$20.90Jul 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$12.94Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.13Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.13Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.11Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.11Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?$51.40Jul 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 14?$31.24Jul 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?$10.27Jul 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?$19.21Jul 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$3.00Jul 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$5.00Jul 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$5.00Jul 12, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?$5.00Jul 12, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.