Possible-Riser
0x74dad0e64f305e6666ba31dfc9196bc329998915
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.24
Total PnL
$-71.79
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-2.86
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
48 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
32 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
17 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.69
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$7.00Apr 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$3.60Apr 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.56Mar 18, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$1.15Mar 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.00Mar 1, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$4.79Mar 1, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.00Mar 1, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$13.89Feb 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$7.00Feb 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.00Feb 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".