Lone-Chance
0x74ea4c4fb5046cc75147b61f4981a48378512f64
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on December 26?
2766 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?
51 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.50
- NO
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
46 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on December 26?$1.4KDec 25, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on December 24?$1.4KDec 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on December 24?$691.50Dec 23, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sarah's Oil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$23.00Nov 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?$25.50Oct 27, 15:18 UTC
- SPLITWill Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?$51.00Oct 27, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.25Oct 19, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$15.00Oct 19, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.08Oct 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.02Oct 18, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$28.32Oct 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$46.67Oct 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.80Oct 5, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.98Oct 5, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38.24Oct 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$46.03Oct 5, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.00May 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.95Feb 2, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.95Feb 2, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.70Jan 1, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $62.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.