Failing-Excitement
0x74ebbbc42ad8266be289380706d90a038665c78a
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-634.03
Realised
$-11.26
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
336 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.86
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
231 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?
221 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-148.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 11?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 13?
167 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
133 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 2?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
116 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
101 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-51.21
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?$1.19May 5, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?$2.74May 5, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 14?$4.45May 5, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Jazz$5.75May 5, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Carolina Gamecocks vs. Oklahoma Sooners$6.73May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?$0.60Apr 16, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?$0.46Apr 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?$0.54Apr 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 14?$1.00Apr 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 11?$1.01Apr 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 10?$0.01Apr 9, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 10?$0.03Apr 9, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on April 10?$1.00Apr 9, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?$0.13Apr 7, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?$0.04Apr 7, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?$0.17Apr 7, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".