Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank
0x75003de792a09a4d0345913baf9c63d08faa567f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$162.33
Total PnL
$-21.7K
Realised
$-351.34
Win rate
47%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
2095 shares @ 7.6¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.50
$-11.42
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?
1465 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.99
$-95.81
- YES
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
1893 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.84
$0.33
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
321115 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-447.63
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
68800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-163.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
41827 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.83
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
38494 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-133.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
35140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-35.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
33815 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
30239 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$1.64Jul 21, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$6.93Jul 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$8.25Jul 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$26.65Jul 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?$30.91Jul 21, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$6.22Jul 21, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$52.69Jul 21, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$9.76Jul 21, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$20.14Jul 21, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$8.00Jul 21, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$32.00Jul 21, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$5.25Jul 21, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.10Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.12Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.47Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.29Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.47Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.46Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.51Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.47Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 73 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
73 closed markets, 47% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.