Incomplete-Young
0x750d7425122a0add2a958086600902210da43d64
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.55
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 26, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$10.36Jun 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.01Jun 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.01Jun 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?$3.33Jun 19, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?$8.33Jun 19, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?$2.10Jun 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?$2.07Jun 19, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?$0.15Jun 19, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?$0.19Jun 19, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?$0.35Jun 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?$0.67Jun 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?$2.10Jun 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?$1.04Jun 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?$2.09Jun 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?$7.10Jun 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?$1.05Jun 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?$1.03Jun 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?$1.04Jun 17, 16:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.