Vain-Tradition
0x75116eb1702af2d12d517f1af4701e117265a4c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.31
Total PnL
$-105.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
18 shares @ 54.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.31
$2.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- FUZOS
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs FUZOS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group B
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.32May 20, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$9.86Mar 25, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.00Mar 25, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Mar 25, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.00Mar 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$3.90Mar 25, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.00Mar 24, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?$10.64Mar 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?$10.00Mar 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$9.74Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?$10.00Mar 23, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?$10.00Mar 21, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?$30.00Mar 21, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?$40.00Mar 21, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?$60.00Mar 21, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.