That-Willingness
0x7516acc45d397922e64c329a7d14c2e5e6203165
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-139.39
Realised
$-26.28
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 13?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 13?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 13?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on February 14?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
73 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-46.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on February 13?
59 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
14 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on February 16?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
10 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
10 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$4.28Feb 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$4.29Feb 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$3.91Feb 21, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3.90Feb 21, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3.71Feb 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$2.05Feb 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.76Feb 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$4.74Feb 21, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$4.74Feb 21, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$3.86Feb 21, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$3.87Feb 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.85Feb 21, 08:21 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.85Feb 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.68Feb 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.25Feb 21, 08:15 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.93Feb 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.21Feb 21, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.15Feb 21, 08:11 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$7.00Feb 21, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.25Feb 21, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.