Arid-Boar
0x7529b8d0d8bfe37ed9afd902d437504b31bad464
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.20
Total PnL
$-605.73
Realised
$-8.14
Win rate
15%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.10
$-1.20
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.10
$-0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Clippers
201 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Pistons
64 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Thunder
60 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Knicks
56 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Pistons
56 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Celtics
56 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Raptors
47 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.19Jun 2, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.20Jun 2, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$1.79May 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$1.01May 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$1.03May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.01May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?$1.09Apr 8, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.70Apr 7, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.30Apr 5, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.30Apr 5, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-03-08?$5.00Mar 8, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-08?$0.07Mar 8, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-03-08?$0.98Mar 8, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Moskva end in a draw?$4.03Mar 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Krasnodar end in a draw?$2.60Mar 8, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-03-08?$2.50Mar 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Krasnodar win on 2026-03-08?$1.00Mar 8, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-03-08?$4.30Mar 8, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-03-08?$1.70Mar 8, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-03-08?$1.70Mar 8, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".