Incompatible-Habitat
0x752a50dd9d0de3f9ac1dffd40576b10cddce282f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.89
Realised
$27.47
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?
2678 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
1015 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
472 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-27.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
276 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
200 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-36.49
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 380 and 399 times September 5–12?
167 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
144 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-23.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?
140 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.09Oct 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$17.05Oct 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$17.51Oct 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$16.66Oct 8, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$17.00Oct 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$15.59Oct 5, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?$15.00Oct 5, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?$14.97Oct 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$3.45Oct 1, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$5.84Oct 1, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$2.00Oct 1, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$7.24Oct 1, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.28Oct 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$7.50Oct 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$16.00Oct 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$31.95Oct 1, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$9.89Oct 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$3.16Oct 1, 15:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.00Oct 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$8.28Sep 30, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.