Both-Labourer
0x7534db2d933643c6a6f4603ef3ad14669fb85f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.44
Total PnL
$-16.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.44
$2.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
753 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $620b on January 31?
430 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
295 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Celtics
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Celtics$1.00Jan 30, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.00Jan 30, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $620b on January 31?$1.00Jan 30, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?$5.00Jan 30, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$5.00Jan 30, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.