Trifling-Stockintrade
0x753aa3205860952311665a8042dd31b931026552
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-83.98
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$0.21
- YES
Will there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
427 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-5.51
- YES
ETHBTC above 0.04 on Halloween?
110 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-44.60
- YES
Hunter Biden sentenced to 6-11 months in gun case?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Andrés Ojeda win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$4.32Mar 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.43Mar 22, 03:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.00Mar 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.31Mar 22, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.64Mar 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.68Mar 21, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.00Mar 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.95Jan 22, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Falcons win the NFC South?$3.39Jan 22, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.05Nov 8, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.05Nov 8, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.08Nov 8, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$5.51Nov 8, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$6.60Nov 8, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $99.99Oct 29, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMSeptember temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?$0.00Oct 28, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?$0.00Oct 21, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300-324 October 11-18?$0.00Oct 21, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 40 or more times October 11-18?$0.00Oct 21, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.