Well-Worn-Checkout
0x754c3e49230b08acb81390aad74f6201eb9f9fe6
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.54
Total PnL
$-159.11
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 9?
339 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on February 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on February 9?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 9?
160 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 10?
94 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 10?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.21Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?$2.08Jul 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.02Jul 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.05Jul 9, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?$2.88Jul 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?$1.02Jul 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?$1.03Jul 8, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?$1.03Jul 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$2.10Jul 6, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$1.00Jul 6, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$1.00Jul 6, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$4.12Jul 6, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?$4.80Jul 6, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?$4.38Jul 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?$2.31Jul 5, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?$2.26Jul 5, 19:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.05Feb 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 10?$1.04Feb 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 10?$1.03Feb 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 10?$1.00Feb 10, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.