Gracious-Refuge
0x754eb40d77f542907c7a915b0e71d0c8d365b30b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 22?
225 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 11?
203 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 28?
184 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 29?
180 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?
175 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 April 13-19?
117 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 30?
102 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 21?
92 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
81 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 20?
75 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 12?$195.56Jul 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 12?$193.80Jul 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 11?$2.82Jul 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$2.83Jun 3, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 1?$24.19May 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$3.60May 17, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 23-29?$151.67May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$1.26May 14, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$147.40May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$146.07May 9, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 18?$200.00May 9, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 21?$0.00Apr 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?$4.15Apr 27, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?$28.43Apr 26, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 April 13-19?$1.39Apr 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 18?$198.60Apr 18, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 14?$213.68Apr 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 16?$2.34Apr 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 14?$0.35Apr 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 14?$210.77Apr 14, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $73.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.