Next-Catastrophe
0x755a0e86f6c5b9bc128cc4091b227a6915539748
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$556.25
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-146.67
Win rate
0%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Lerryan Douglas win by KO or TKO?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$101.52
$1.52
- SERGHEI SPIVAC
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$98.81
$-1.19
- OVER
O/U 2.5 Rounds
155 shares @ 64.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$96.61
$-3.39
- WES SCHULTZ
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$96.15
$-3.85
- OVER
O/U 2.5 Rounds
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$96.15
$-3.85
- YES
Will Shanelle Dyer win by KO or TKO?
147 shares @ 59.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$67.01
$-20.99
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2439 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
1980 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
1302 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims) AND O/U 2.5 Rounds$100.00Aug 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$101.77Aug 22, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)$103.05Aug 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shanelle Dyer win by KO or TKO?$89.77Aug 22, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$210.82Aug 22, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 0.5$4.18Aug 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$285.97Aug 21, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$105.47Aug 21, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)$102.90Aug 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$101.75Aug 21, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lerryan Douglas win by KO or TKO?$101.70Aug 21, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds AND UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)$105.00Aug 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$100.00Aug 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)$140.00Aug 20, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 4.5 Rounds$275.86Aug 16, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$720.64Aug 16, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 4.5 Rounds$0.00Aug 16, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$153.85Aug 16, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 4.5 Rounds$163.36Aug 16, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 2.5 Rounds$159.53Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
61/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
60 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $113.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.