Specific-Craftsman
0x7563c4688d15dbef6f98125521d307906c5b7cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$218.26
Total PnL
$-170.93
Realised
$-68.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
218 shares @ 22.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$218.26
$168.26
- YES
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
813 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-82.07
- NO
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
409 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
377 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-18.36
- YES
Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
316 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WI $0.00Jun 10, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$50.00Jun 10, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$0.00Jun 10, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$40.00Jun 10, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$91.42May 7, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$100.00May 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?$30.00Nov 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?$20.00Nov 21, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?$10.00Nov 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?$20.00Nov 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?$50.00Nov 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$7.76Nov 6, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$7.50Nov 6, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$6.00Nov 6, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$10.00Nov 6, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.18Nov 6, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$80.00Nov 6, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $18.90Nov 6, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$70.00Nov 6, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $63.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".