Miserly-Implementation
0x756868aadfb4c6c1e56691a6fb8112286adddaf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-6.91
Realised
$-6.24
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
1248 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.2K
$0.63
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
903 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$900.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
901 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$896.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
116 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$116.28
$0.06
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
33 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$33.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.40
$0.49
- NO
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$21.32
$-0.01
- NO
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$13.26
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
12 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$12.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?$899.13Aug 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$865.44Aug 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$900.19Aug 13, 15:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$939.97Aug 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.1KAug 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?$3.00Aug 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.1KAug 11, 16:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $818.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.