Impossible-Dungarees
0x7569084dbeb506fd2b74dcb1a52f1193b0a04c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$53.40
Total PnL
$-14.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
53 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$53.40
$3.56
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.09
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.09
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
53 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$49.84Mar 9, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates$3.10Mar 9, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?$53.00Mar 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?$43.99May 14, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?$5.09May 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$1.80May 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?$1.80May 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?$2.07May 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?$4.09May 14, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$59.24May 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$59.12Feb 17, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$59.12Feb 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$59.06Jan 23, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$59.06Jan 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$59.00Dec 13, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$59.00Dec 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$58.94Nov 15, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Utah Presidential Election?$25.81Nov 15, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$33.13Nov 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$33.03Nov 5, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.