Blond-Lion-Inevitable
0x756e16006a626130876d7e64bd2230d27445648a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-721.78
Realised
$10.77
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 20?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?
2455 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?
1894 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on June 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
266 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-146.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
214 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
195 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 21?
142 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$78.46Jul 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$101.40Jul 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$45.02Jul 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$27.52Jul 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$28.54Jul 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$155.04Jul 15, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$217.43Jul 15, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$28.91Jul 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$13.48Jul 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$12.10Jul 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$11.36Jul 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$9.00Jul 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$9.82Jul 11, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$9.00Jul 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$33.34Jul 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$33.64Jul 10, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$33.16Jul 10, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.02Jul 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$10.11Jul 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$10.10Jul 10, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $23.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.