Legal-Minimum-Providence
0x7578283f89d914361b1e744ec7d415a2bd626426
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-16.9K
Realised
$-316.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
3721 shares @ 9.1¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$706.96
$367.79
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
888 shares @ 29.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$417.59
$159.91
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
8500 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
6000 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
5322 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
4143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
3659 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
3000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-101.42
- YES
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?
3000 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-974.76
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
3000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-480.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$0.56Jul 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$15.84Jul 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$334.51Jul 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$0.64Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$0.43Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$0.44Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$6.09Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$5.70Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$251.34Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.38Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.99Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$169.15Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$4.20Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$0.16Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$231.53Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$6.24Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$0.23Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$156.07Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$107.42Jul 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$1.6KJul 14, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $346.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.