Thoughtful-Brush
0x757bf11122fd21fb33b78c0a3b477005be973238
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$100.20
Total PnL
$0.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in June?$99.92Jun 21, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$99.80Jun 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$99.71May 27, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in April?$99.89May 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in April?$99.80Apr 26, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$99.76Apr 26, 13:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$99.36Mar 14, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$100.59Mar 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$99.58Feb 10, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?$99.58Feb 10, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?$99.48Jan 23, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$99.48Jan 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$98.78Dec 2, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in November?$98.79Dec 2, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.60 in November?$98.39Nov 13, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting?$98.39Nov 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting?$98.19Oct 15, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$53.03Oct 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.2KOct 15, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $151.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.