International-Freezer
0x75803ebd31926603e18546b6ac7e2cded9ff853d
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$380.16
Total PnL
$-399.63
Realised
$71.09
Win rate
61%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4997 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$112.44
$45.01
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6848 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.06
$-3.94
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2505 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.83
$-8.52
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4880 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.60
$-2.44
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2144 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.08
$13.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2756 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.93
$-4.13
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
813 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$16.66
$-39.62
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1004 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.56
$-15.57
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
1151 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$8.63
$-3.63
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
602 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.52
$2.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$0.64Jul 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$0.47Jul 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.01Jul 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?$0.16Jul 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.28Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.27Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.26Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.26Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.25Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.25Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.24Jul 21, 06:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.95Jul 20, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 20, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.42Jul 20, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.14Jul 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.15Jul 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.28Jul 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.17Jul 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10Jul 20, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 04:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.