Practical-Peacoat
0x7583c8c813834c8b3370da24e18606467cda353f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
3582 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 22?
3220 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-801.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?
2475 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?
2038 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-998.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?
1880 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-400.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?
1794 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-500.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?
1329 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-87.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 23?
1180 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$15.17Feb 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$122.40Feb 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$45.45Feb 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$6.80Feb 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$8.80Feb 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$1.38Feb 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?$26.70Feb 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?$27.27Feb 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?$46.23Feb 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?$21.52Feb 19, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?$78.48Feb 19, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?$0.07Feb 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?$20.93Feb 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?$53.79Feb 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?$25.41Feb 19, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?$85.05Feb 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?$64.65Feb 18, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?$250.17Feb 18, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?$33.00Feb 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?$96.90Feb 18, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $60.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.