Finished-Carry
0x758587cbcce1b9ba014836095123c1bbf53b6b3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$30.00
Total PnL
$-308.22
Realised
$4.10
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$30.00
$21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
2053 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-59.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?
181 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-138.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12AM ET
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11AM ET
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 19?
75 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
62 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$9.00Jun 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$29.68Jun 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$26.11Jun 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.64Jun 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.05Jun 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.09Jun 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.04Jun 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.05Jun 15, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.09Jun 15, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$3.64Jun 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.06Jun 15, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.62Jun 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.05Jun 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.35Jun 15, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 10?$9.01Jun 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 10?$9.00Jun 10, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans$9.09Jun 10, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $23.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.