0x7591e32a847d03bb20c6faaa7a513aaf9c2de4f4
0x7591e32a847d03bb20c6faaa7a513aaf9c2de4f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.74
Total PnL
$-46.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 17.5¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.74
$-0.28
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 11AM ET
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
24 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?
18 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.31Mar 2, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$41.56Mar 2, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.28Mar 1, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$4.70Mar 1, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.25Feb 28, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.51Feb 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$9.99Feb 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 28, 11AM ET$1.25Feb 28, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$30.30Feb 27, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$5.28Feb 27, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$5.00Feb 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5.00Feb 26, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5.00Feb 26, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5.00Feb 26, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.