Fragrant-Mercury
0x759d3ea1019a3e4b3db871a6b26353d1db72704d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-404.94
Realised
$36.57
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 8AM ET
302 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-109.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 5AM ET
223 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3PM ET
110 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 4PM ET
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 6PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 10AM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 8AM ET
100 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$0.00Jan 22, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$4.69Jan 22, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump issue 8–10 executive orders in July?$0.00Jan 16, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$3.70Dec 19, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?$5.41Dec 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5AM ET$4.00Dec 9, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?$2.00Dec 8, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$3.00Dec 8, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$1.00Dec 8, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET$0.00Dec 8, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET$7.46Dec 8, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET$2.79Dec 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET$2.00Dec 8, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET$5.00Dec 8, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?$7.00Dec 8, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by December 31?$0.00Dec 8, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.40Dec 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$2.00Dec 8, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 8, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".