0x75a29a02ec5ee600f6f29008dd4ef442ff54faf8
0x75a29a02ec5ee600f6f29008dd4ef442ff54faf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.24
Total PnL
$-5.60
Realised
$-1.83
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 22-28?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in September?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 3?$0.00Oct 24, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.00Oct 24, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 17, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 3?$0.00Oct 13, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.00Oct 12, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$0.00Oct 11, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?$0.00Oct 11, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?$1.03Oct 11, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 3?$0.00Oct 11, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 3?$0.00Oct 10, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$0.00Oct 10, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.00Oct 10, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $180 in September?$1.09Oct 10, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?$1.45Oct 10, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?$2.94Oct 10, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4500 in September?$0.00Oct 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 22-28?$1.00Sep 27, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?$1.00Sep 24, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.50 in September?$1.00Sep 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Siversk by September 30?$0.04Sep 24, 21:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.