0x75aa1e0914c5db7dcc13494f5ee0333363090bd0
0x75aa1e0914c5db7dcc13494f5ee0333363090bd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.52
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-127.66
Win rate
10%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
45 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$22.52
$-1.56
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?
19230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.21
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
16340 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
9260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2PM ET
9250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
6038 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.25
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
4800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$25.10Aug 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.60Aug 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$5.01Aug 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$14.63Aug 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$25.01Aug 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.31Aug 15, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.21Aug 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.00Aug 15, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$20.81Aug 15, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$14.01Aug 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.00Aug 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.24Aug 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.04Aug 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$3.59Aug 15, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Aug 15, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Aug 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$10.58Aug 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$6.55Aug 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Aug 15, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.01Aug 15, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
199 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.