Prudent-Violet
0x75ab512ae504227241cd435f91bcb6467357e4f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.26
Total PnL
$-11.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 16?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 22?
97 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMXi Jinping out by June 30?$1.01Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?$88.18Jun 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?$88.10Jun 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$88.09May 31, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$88.00May 28, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$87.99May 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$87.90May 23, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$87.89May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$87.81May 17, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$87.79May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$87.70May 11, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$87.69May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$87.60May 6, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$87.69May 6, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$87.60Apr 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$87.59Apr 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$87.51Apr 25, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 20?$87.51Apr 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 20?$87.43Apr 19, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 13?$87.43Apr 19, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $71.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.