Flashy-Effective
0x75ad14842bd0471bee07635125082d6b40dc1174
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-104.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$2.00
$0.09
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
1192 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-53.25
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?
1169 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-50.50
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$0.79Sep 5, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$1.00Sep 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?$1.91Jul 22, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?$0.40Jul 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?$2.50Jul 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?$49.00Jul 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?$49.00Jul 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?$1.50Jul 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?$1.75Jul 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?$0.39Jul 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?$0.70Jul 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.02Jun 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.02Jun 18, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".