Granular-Combat
0x75b67911f5dee05b0eb3af57006d9a462adf5b63
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$96.56
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 29?
6301 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-112.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
6022 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-599.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 30?
5618 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Johan Manzambi: 1+ assists
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
4542 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7AM ET
2371 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1822 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$16.17Jul 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$17.02Jul 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$20.67Jul 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$10.33Jul 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.03Jul 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$2.11Jul 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.06Jul 21, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.07Jul 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.06Jul 21, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$7.60Jul 21, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$2.00Jul 21, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.40Jul 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.10Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.09Jul 21, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.