0x75bc85633d85c3293bdaec0928f5e273d599881f
0x75bc85633d85c3293bdaec0928f5e273d599881f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$101.97
Total PnL
$-1.48
Realised
$-2.68
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 23?
36 shares @ 27.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$36.36
$26.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 25?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$29.41
$24.41
- YES
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.62
$10.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 24?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$13.87
$8.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?
7 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$6.71
$5.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 24?
145 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?
80 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?
78 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 23?
53 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 25?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?$1.00Mar 25, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 26?$1.47Mar 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?$0.58Mar 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 26?$1.47Mar 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?$0.58Mar 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?$0.48Mar 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 26?$0.41Mar 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 26?$0.41Mar 25, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?$1.57Mar 25, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?$4.83Mar 25, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?$0.85Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?$0.29Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 26?$6.38Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?$8.29Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?$4.68Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?$0.90Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 26?$0.35Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 26?$1.40Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?$8.01Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 25?$2.36Mar 24, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.