Waterlogged-Sorbet
0x75c068316e683a108d091c1139d4db90124c1484
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$27.64
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times August 8–August 15?
577 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?
571 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?
524 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?
514 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12AM ET
495 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-202.06
- YES
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?
444 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?
425 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?
396 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 20+ times during his next video?
369 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.2KApr 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.2KApr 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$539.43Apr 12, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$643.01Apr 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 130 seats?$227.34Apr 12, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$99.44Apr 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$99.44Apr 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$113.07Apr 11, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$101.00Apr 11, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET$0.26Aug 19, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET$242.41Aug 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET$1.00Aug 19, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET$1.00Aug 19, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET$244.41Aug 19, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET$216.42Aug 19, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-19?$216.42Aug 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET$18.19Aug 19, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET$18.19Aug 19, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET$16.85Aug 19, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMets vs. Nationals$16.08Aug 19, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $180.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".