Miniature-Theology
0x75c40e0f65882bff0d27bcfc4427c480fbff4a14
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$19.93
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.93
$2.73
- PREDATORS
Red Wings vs. Predators
3700 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- SENATORS
Senators vs. Devils
350 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-188.99
- WIZARDS
Pistons vs. Wizards
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$25.49Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$17.20Jun 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$23.14Jun 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.91Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$18.09Jun 9, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?$20.00Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.60Jun 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?$18.31Jun 1, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.66Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$10.00Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$9.88May 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.53May 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$19.90May 14, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Devils$3.27Apr 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Devils$3.35Apr 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Devils$5.87Apr 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Devils$2.35Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Devils$5.40Apr 12, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.