Shadowy-Flair
0x75ca888340cbfad5a6c5a3be43ff8b52b6d29041
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$27.78
Total PnL
$-117.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Starmer say "Middle East" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$27.78
$7.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 8?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "What a fight" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Polish president on September 3?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?
25 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
24 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during events with Polish president on September 3?
18 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?$3.13Mar 17, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "World Champion" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?$16.67Mar 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?$2.00Mar 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?$3.00Mar 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.00Mar 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Middle East" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$20.00Mar 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?$5.00Mar 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?$10.00Mar 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said at the Oscars?$10.00Mar 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?$10.00Mar 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "World Champion" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?$10.00Mar 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$94.28Mar 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$96.30Mar 8, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 8?$1.00Mar 8, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?$0.00Mar 8, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?$0.00Mar 8, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Championship" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?$12.82Mar 8, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?$82.86Mar 8, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?$0.00Mar 8, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $18.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".