Subtle-Leaver
0x75cc0210546f1ae9754d510ebfea1c281fd49ac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-345.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on February 3?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
167 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?
101 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
98 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28?
88 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.91
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
83 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$6.98Jul 21, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$2.28Jul 21, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$2.05Jul 21, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?$1.30Jul 21, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$3.19Jul 20, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$62.99Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$90.91Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$30.30Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$21.85Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$7.08Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.53Jul 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$8.50Jul 19, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$10.44Jul 19, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$10.47Jul 19, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$10.42Jul 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$13.26Jul 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.39Jul 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$10.33Jul 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$20.68Jul 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$10.33Jul 15, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.