Insecure-Rail
0x75cea1a3db142e839dec8b405d59bdc76a961aa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$19.65
Total PnL
$-3.23
Realised
$-0.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.86
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.92
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 13?
2400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Megaquake in 2025?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$349.30Mar 5, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$1.02Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?$1.10Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends taxes on tips in 2025?$2.04Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$2.13Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?$2.17Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$355.50Mar 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$360.50Mar 2, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$363.78Mar 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 13?$2.40Dec 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?$1.00Jun 30, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?$2.00Jun 30, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in 2025?$2.00Jun 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEM2025 March hottest on record?$1.04Jun 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$1.04Jun 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Tate go to the UK before April?$1.07Jun 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMArrest in the Suchir Balaji case before April?$2.05Jun 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake in March?$2.07Jun 30, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate go to the UK before April?$1.00Mar 17, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $46.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.