Crafty-Macrofauna
0x75d392de677c8766136b8dfc28aab57f67ca3f0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?
282 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-119.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?
105 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-58.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?
86 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?
79 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-45.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 16?
65 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-38.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
65 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-41.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?
57 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14?
53 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?
51 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-21.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9PM ET
48 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?$15.96Jul 24, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 22?$15.96Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.01Jul 22, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$26.00Jul 22, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 21?$26.00Jul 22, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 21?$15.96Jul 22, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$27.00Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$28.00Jul 21, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.00Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$24.17Jul 21, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$24.94Jul 21, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A$25.00Jul 21, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A$23.57Jul 21, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$26.00Jul 21, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$26.00Jul 21, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$27.00Jul 21, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$24.54Jul 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$24.24Jul 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$12.44Jul 21, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 2AM ET$11.68Jul 21, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.