Frivolous-Cornerstone
0x75d4b0f46de070cb03497186347355560e07fa02
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-83.14
Win rate
35%
129 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
2640 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-299.24
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
163 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.58
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
155 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
153 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-98.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
143 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?
138 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 12?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
128 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 12?
126 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?
121 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.27Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.53Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$3.07Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.19Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03Apr 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$3.33Apr 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$4.91Apr 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.27Apr 15, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.40Apr 15, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$4.99Apr 15, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.85Apr 15, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.01Apr 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.55Apr 15, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.68Apr 15, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.92Apr 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.34Apr 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.04Apr 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.16Apr 15, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.88Apr 15, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 129 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
129 closed markets, 35% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 129 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.