Crooked-Accordion
0x75d89915cac6762d72e70ffe6f4cd2ac52444008
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win less than 32% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?$0.94Apr 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taiwan counter tariff the U.S. in April?$0.99Apr 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan counter tariff the U.S. in April?$1.27Apr 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?$1.27Apr 11, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?$1.43Apr 11, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$1.27Apr 9, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$1.27Apr 9, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?$1.49Apr 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?$1.49Apr 8, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Saskatchewan in the next Canadian Election?$1.26Apr 7, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Saskatchewan in the next Canadian Election?$1.44Apr 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?$1.08Apr 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?$1.24Apr 6, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.10Apr 5, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.10Apr 5, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.