Polite-Hash
0x75d9ad23a88a5771882441b490c9018dbb0de3b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-383.21
Realised
$2.63
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 17?
2360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 19?
2290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 7?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 29?
1810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 25?
1180 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 20?
1090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 30?
1075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$1.16Jun 5, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$0.17Jun 5, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$1.47Jun 5, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5?$1.05Jun 5, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$3.78Jun 5, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$0.94Jun 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5?$1.10Jun 4, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?$1.15Jun 4, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?$0.39May 24, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?$2.79May 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?$6.90May 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?$1.45May 22, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$0.50May 22, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?$1.07May 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?$1.84May 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?$0.96May 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?$0.72May 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?$0.18May 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$1.04May 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?$1.07May 21, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.