Excitable-Moment
0x75e0913d973fe6744936526330e3827d578a0e21
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$3.34
Total PnL
$-518.28
Realised
$17.05
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?
525 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
238 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
155 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Dec 25, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Dec 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.99Dec 25, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)$1.00Dec 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$0.96Dec 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 23, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.82Dec 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.21Dec 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?$0.44Dec 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.61Dec 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$0.88Dec 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.98Dec 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.96Dec 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.90Dec 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.41Dec 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.99Dec 23, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".