Guilty-Marathon
0x75e9ae2c4e25efd2b385d3eecc1f39fcfb5f55a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?
141 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?
124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
114 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
114 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Minnesota be the closest state?
114 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 2.0%-3.0%?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?
103 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.00Dec 22, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.01Dec 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.00Dec 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.01Dec 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.01Dec 22, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$0.08Dec 22, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.07Dec 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.04Dec 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.11Dec 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more? $0.12Nov 28, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?$0.10Nov 21, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 2.0%-3.0%?$0.11Nov 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?$0.13Nov 14, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$0.14Nov 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150-174 times November 8-15?$0.10Nov 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$185.31Nov 12, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Olave be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?$0.11Nov 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$185.50Nov 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$22.82Nov 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?$0.04Nov 12, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $61.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".