Honored-Skull-Airplane
0x75fbe1af07e638dfdea762c64ef086f3c1fad54e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-42.90
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3PM ET
2111 shares @ 56.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.4K
$262.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET
835 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET
360 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
265 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
159 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-83.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11AM ET
147 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-83.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
91 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
86 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
66 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3PM ET$1.2KAug 17, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$29.41Aug 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$15.51Aug 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2PM ET$464.52Aug 17, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$156.60Aug 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$85.73Aug 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$206.21Aug 17, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$381.84Aug 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$164.44Aug 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11AM ET$85.54Aug 17, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$370.20Aug 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$199.47Aug 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$85.78Aug 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10AM ET$34.04Aug 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9AM ET$1.12Aug 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$287.99Aug 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$87.22Aug 17, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$65.45Aug 17, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
48/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $116.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 18:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.