Valid-Bargain
0x75fcbee430ab23b7549cbd6f63ecd179ae02db91
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-336.55
Realised
$29.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
8974 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
1015 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
683 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
564 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-21.45
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.70
- NO
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?
76 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 80m and 90m views in first 24 hours?
65 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$21.45Jun 2, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in May?$40.00May 25, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in May?$50.00May 18, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$100.00May 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$20.00May 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?$1.00May 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 70m and 80m views in first 24 hours?$5.00May 7, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 80m and 90m views in first 24 hours?$5.00May 7, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?$1.00May 7, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 70m and 80m views in first 24 hours?$39.29May 7, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?$1.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 80m and 90m views in first 24 hours?$1.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 70m and 80m views in first 24 hours?$2.00May 7, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 70m and 80m views in first 24 hours?$8.00May 6, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$20.00Mar 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$20.00Mar 19, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$60.00Mar 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.97Jul 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.70Jul 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.73Jul 8, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $18.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".