Icy-Bacon
0x760b0f32857632ddb280a44b21f27cd956e726ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-456.92
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
62500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-184.94
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
62056 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-958.14
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
51180 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-156.05
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
34700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-54.13
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
22395 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.26
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
21025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-42.09
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
17000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-53.99
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
15833 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?
13830 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-79.98
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
13434 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-59.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?$9.00Nov 23, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$29.47Nov 23, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$18.95Nov 23, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?$41.67Nov 23, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? $55.87Nov 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? $97.03Nov 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$137.10Nov 23, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win California US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 10, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$9.70Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$10.00Nov 6, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? $19.71Nov 6, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$0.04Nov 6, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$14.00Nov 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$14.04Nov 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Connecticut by the largest margin?$0.76Nov 5, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Connecticut by the largest margin?$3.00Nov 5, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Connecticut by the largest margin?$2.00Nov 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?$2.00Nov 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Delaware by the largest margin?$3.00Nov 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win California by the largest margin?$3.00Nov 5, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".