Tattered-Poncho
0x7612c2089a071bcac7f05f13a743fa3a61e8f1b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.22
Total PnL
$-279.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
522 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.25
$4.57
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.08
$-6.92
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.26
$0.22
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Corners
44 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.24
$-32.98
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
497 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-202.87
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
33 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.36
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
33 shares @ 64.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Corners$33.46Jun 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$33.47Jun 13, 19:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$29.38Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$29.32Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$14.92Jun 12, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$74.96Jun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$551.59Jun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$15.98Jun 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$19.22Jun 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$48.99Jun 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.99Jun 11, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$18.36Jun 9, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-08?$18.29Jun 8, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.83Jun 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 8, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.76Jun 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$54.71Jun 8, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $106.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.