Warped-Pharmacopoeia
0x76161695634640d5e73ffcd19239192f938f69ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$36.94
Total PnL
$-116.4K
Realised
$-12.7K
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
26 shares @ 46.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.31
$11.19
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.55
$0.35
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
29 shares @ 23.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.96
$-2.94
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
214514 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
132761 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
117604 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-43.1K
- YES
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
76476 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-16.4K
- NO
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?
69796 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.3K
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
19131 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 3, 08:10 UTC → Jun 3, 08:06 UTC
- SELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$8.1K@15¢Jun 3, 08:06 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
0 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
$8.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.